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In two years, Barnes and Noble anticipates ebooks to rule the reading market.

At the GigaOM Big Data conference in New York City last week, Barnes and Noble executive Marc Parrish boldly asserted that the book industry is undergoing a radical and swift transformation, unlike cinema, music, or journalism, happening within a few months.

Book retailer Barnes & Noble predicts ebooks will dominate the market within the next two years.
Book retailer Barnes & Noble predicts ebooks will dominate the market within the next two years.

In two years, Barnes and Noble anticipates ebooks to rule the reading market.

The world of books is undergoing a significant transformation, with eBooks rapidly gaining popularity over traditional print books. According to recent reports, Amazon has been selling more ebooks than tangible books for the past year. This shift is not a new phenomenon, as the fall of Borders Books serves as a stark example of companies that failed to adapt to the digital age.

However, not all is doom and gloom for the book industry. Barnes and Noble, a prominent player in the market, seems to be doing things right. The company has managed to avoid the legal battles over the digitization of books that other companies have faced, and has instead focused on developing its own e-reader line, the Nook.

The success of the Nook, combined with a tangible bookstore chain and the #2 ebook store, has positioned Barnes and Noble to lead the charge into the digital future. The company's CEO has even gone so far as to predict that eBooks will dominate the landscape within the next 24 months.

This prediction is supported by recent statistics. According to the Association of American Publishers, over 70 million dollars worth of eBooks were sold in a recent period, up 116% from January 2010, while tangible books went from 104 million to only 80 million in the same period. Furthermore, eBooks are currently sold at a 2:1 ratio compared to tangible books, according to recent Amazon reports.

The rise of eBooks is not just a trend, but a seismic shift in the digital publishing industry. This change is also reflected in the reading habits of consumers. A report by Codex Forrester and Gartner Research shows that 30% of all readers now use eBooks as their primary method of reading.

The book industry, like many others, is not immune to the challenges posed by the digital age. There are ongoing investigations into "cartels" and "price fixing" between major publishers in the EU, which is illegal in the European Union. However, Barnes and Noble does not appear to be involved in these investigations.

In the face of these changes, Marc Parrish, an executive of Barnes and Noble, has made bold proclamations. At the GigaOM Big Data conference last week, he stated that the book business is changing more radically and quickly than movies, music, or newspapers. Parrish believes that the book industry will undergo a total shift within the next 24 months, with eBooks dominating the landscape.

While a precise timeline for the domination of eBooks cannot be definitively stated without updated information from Marc Parrish, his past industry commentary suggests that the mid-to-late 2020s could be a pivotal period for this transformation. However, the pace of this shift can vary widely depending on factors such as device adoption, consumer preferences, and retailers’ strategies.

In conclusion, the rise of eBooks presents both challenges and opportunities for the book industry. Barnes and Noble, with its strategic approach and innovative products, is well-positioned to lead this transformation. As consumers continue to embrace the convenience and accessibility of eBooks, the future of the book industry looks bright.

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