Financial heavyweights JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup predict a specific asset to surpass the S&P 500's performance, but Ernst & Young (EY) cautions that traders may exhibit excessive optimism about US stocks, according to a recent report.
Banking titans JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup anticipate that the Stoxx Europe 600 Index will surpass the S&P 500 this year, signaling a shift in investor preference toward European assets over American assets.
In a recent survey conducted by Bloomberg, 20 market strategists, including JPMorgan and Citigroup, forecasted the Stoxx Europe 600 Index's growth outpacing the S&P 500 for the remainder of 2025. The optimistic outlook is predominantly due to the improving economic climate in the European Union.
According to JPMorgan's projections, the Stoxx Europe 600 Index could ascend to a record high of 580 points in the coming months, with the bank forecasting a decline for the S&P 500 in contrast. Meanwhile, Citigroup estimates the Stoxx Europe 600 Index to reach 570 points by year's end, as the market gains clarity on corporate earnings.
Citi strategist Beata Manthey believes that if the market has already surpassed the peak of earnings uncertainty, it could result in additional growth and prospective multiple re-rating, especially for beaten-down cyclical sectors.
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index is a stock market benchmark comprising the 600 biggest publicly-traded firms across 17 European countries. As of the last trading day, the Stoxx Europe 600 Index stood at 545 points, posting a 7.6% increase year-to-date.
This optimistic outlook comes as Ernst & Young (EY) has issued a caution about the S&P 500 rallying without accounting for the potential negative impacts of tariffs. In a shareholder's report, EY's chief economist, Gregory Daco, warns that tariffs may pressure household demand due to heightened prices, which could slow the US economy and cause it to near "stall speed" during the final quarter of 2025, with a projected year-over-year GDP growth of 0.6%.
"Equity markets have overreacted with unjustified optimism, ignoring the persistent economic drag posed by elevated tariffs," Daco stated. As of the last trading day, the S&P 500 Index was at 5,802 points.
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[Reference Links][1] https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/11/business/world/stocks/europe-us-equities-stoxx.html[2] https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/10/sp-500-stoxx-50-market-strategists-predict-economic-outlook.html[3] https://www.bloombergquint.com/global-economics/citis-european-equity-strategy-holds-positive-stance-on-europe-ahead-of-us-earnings-season[4] https://www.ft.com/content/88fz56f4-0daa-4ad6-bdcb-65acacbc5d21[5] https://www.axios.com/2025/05/12/europe-us-stocks-economic-growth.html
- The optimistic outlook on European assets has led to an increase in interest in cryptocurrencies and altcoins in the business world, as investors seek new avenues for investing in the financial market.
- As JPMorgan and Citigroup foresee the Stoxx Europe 600 Index surpassing the S&P 500, some investors may look towards alternative investment options, such as blockchain-based investments, to capitalize on this shift in market dynamics.
- The improving economic landscape in Europe could also foster a more conducive environment for blockchain and cryptocurrency businesses, potentially attracting more investment and innovation in these sectors.