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Decline of iPhone's Market Dominance in China, According to Report

Anticipated Advance: Mate 60 Pro from Huawei to Outperform iPhone in China's Market Next Year, Boasting a Domestic Processor

Shutterstock photo featuring Nikkimeeel: Unspecified Image
Shutterstock photo featuring Nikkimeeel: Unspecified Image

Losing the Top Spot: Apple's Struggle in the Chinese Smartphone Market

Decline of iPhone's Market Dominance in China, According to Report

The reign of Apple's iconic iPhone in China is under threat as it loses its coveted top spot to domestic competitors. A less-than-impressive debut of the iPhone 15 has paved the way for Huawei to take over the number one spot.

Apple ambitiously anticipated the high-end iPhone 15 to be a massive seller. However, Jefferies analysts predict a double-digit decrease in sales for this model this year. The iPhone's volume growth has been negative since its latest launch, indicating a dwindling market presence. Reports also suggest that Apple trimmed the production of the iPhone 15 by 8 million units before its official unveiling.

The tech giant remained silent on the matter when approached for comments.

Meanwhile, Huawei experienced impressive growth in China, with smartphone sales soaring in 2023. This growth outpaced Apple amidst a slowdown in regional smartphone demand.

"The trend signals a potential iPhone vs Huawei rivalry in 2024," wrote Jefferies analysts, hinting at weaker demand for iPhones potentially leading to reduced global shipments.

Huawei unveiled the Mate 60 Pro, its latest high-end smartphone featuring a made-in-China processor. Although this 7-nanometer processor falls short of Apple's 3-nanometer, it signifies a significant advancement in the ongoing US-China chip war.

Counterpoint Research also reported a dip in iPhone sales in China, attributing it to an economy still recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic. However, Huawei is estimated to sell between 5 to 6 million units of the Mate 60 Pro alone this year, with potential sales rising above 10 million units in 2024.

Tensions between the U.S. and China underpin the smartphone battle. Just last month, Chinese officials banned government employees from using iPhones at work, a week before Apple unveiled the iPhone 15. China has vowed to reduce its reliance on foreign technologies, a move that could impact Apple's market standing in Asia. The iPhone ban echoes similar U.S. policies, such as the Federal Communications Commission-designated Huawei as a national security risk.

Factors Contributing to Apple's Decline

  1. Price Strategy: Apple's insistence on maintaining premium prices for its iPhones has limited its ability to reap benefits from government subsidies, which primarily support devices priced under 6,000 yuan (approximately $820)1.
  2. Government Support: The Chinese government extends significant support to local brands, fueling their growth and making it challenging for foreign brands like Apple to compete1.
  3. Local Competition: Xiaomi, in particular, has surged ahead, reclaiming the leading position with a market share of 39.9%. Xiaomi's success is attributed to aggressive pricing and alignment with local tastes and policies1.

Huawei's Past Performance and Future Prospects

Although not specifically mentioned in the latest data, Huawei has historically held a significant presence in the Chinese market. However, its global presence has been hampered due to U.S. sanctions and restrictions. In the past few years, domestic brands like Xiaomi, Oppo, and Vivo have gained prominence in the Chinese market at the expense of both Apple and Huawei.

Huawei is expected to continue focusing on its domestic market, capitalizing on its strong brand loyalty and innovation in certain segments like 5G. However, the current data primarily emphasizes the rise of Xiaomi and other domestic brands, with Huawei not being a main focus in these reports.

  1. The tech industry is witnessing a shift in power as Apple's dominance in the Chinese smartphone market is challenged.
  2. Gizmodo reported that Huawei has seized the top spot from Apple, marking a significant turn of events.
  3. The 2023 debut of the iPhone 15 was supposed to be a game-changer, but Jefferies analysts foresee a drop in sales for the high-end smartphone this year.
  4. Amidst Apple's struggles, Huawei's smartphone sales have shown remarkable growth in 2023, outpacing the tech giant in the Chinese market.
  5. The Mate 60 Pro, Huawei's latest flagship smartphone, features a 7-nanometer processor, which may fall short of Apple's 3-nanometer chip but signals a breakthrough in the ongoing US-China tech rivalry.
  6. Analysts anticipate a potential clash between the iPhone and Huawei in 2024, raising concerns about Apple's global smartphone shipments.
  7. The Chinese government has imposed an iPhone ban for government employees, further squeezing Apple's presence in the Asian market.
  8. The economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic is contributing to a decline in iPhone sales in China.
  9. Huawei is projected to sell between 5 to 6 million units of the Mate 60 Pro this year, with potential sales reaching above 10 million units in 2024.
  10. The near-monopoly of low-cost phones in China, supported by government subsidies, poses a significant challenge for Apple in the price-sensitive market.
  11. Chinese brands like Xiaomi have emerged as fierce competitors, with Xiaomi reclaiming the leading position in the Chinese market.
  12. The future of the tech industry hinges on policy-and-legislation, finance, business, general news, lifestyle, social media, entertainment, and politics, as the US-China tech war escalates, impacting key players like Apple, Huawei, and Xiaomi.

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